An attack is inevitable

I've talked about this before, but not extensively. I think this is a good time to dwell deeper into this seeing how everybody moved forward after the UK terror plot that was foiled. It didn't happen, but it could have. Unfortunately, I think it will inevitably happen in the future. Before we go over why its inevitable, let me explain why its currently even possible.
The picture above is of the US, and it's two boarding countries; Canada and Mexico.
The United States has a coastline of over 12,000 miles (almost 20,000KM). The red line is it's border with Mexico (~2000 miles, ~3000KM), the yellow is it's border with Canada which is three times it's size. Ladies and gentleman, the borders are big. HUGE.
Let's start with the Mexico border. It's guarded by the National Guard, It is estimated that over a million people cross the border illegally each year. Now, no offense to my Mexican readers but this just not good. Issues of illegal immigrants crossing over for jobs is beyond the scope of this blog, but from a purely security point of view this is nothing short of a disaster. Never mind the drug and weapon smugglers or the people who die in the attempt, this is an easy way for terrorists to gain entry into the country.
Is it possible to control such a border? Absolutely. In the 90's the army was sent for a time to control the border, by all accounts it was a successful attempt. What people are looking into now is a fence, and the fence should work. It has been done before on a smaller scale with success rates of over 90%. A 2,000 mile, fence that would cover all of it would cost roughly $1.5 - 3 billion and be completed in 6 months. See for yourself in this except from The Colbert Report (just about as accurate as other main stream news sources, but much more entertaining).
It's doable, it worked for Israel and it will work for the United States but for some reason it's not being done. Not fast enough at least. So supposedly this border which is crossed over 350 million times a year and leaves over a million illegal immigrants in the country will come under control sometime in the not distant future.
Let's turn our attention to the north, the United States-Canada border. A border which is three times longer then the one with Mexico and is dubbed as: "the world's longest undefended border". I can't help but have the urge to smack my forehead here.
The sheer promiscuity, for lack of a better word, of that border I witnessed first hand on my trip there. Crossing over by bus we stopped at the border for a customs check, stamp passport, finger print, picture. There were no metal detectors, nobody was searched or checked at all. But that's just the checkpoint, the border is so vast that taking an SUV and finding some remote unmonitored crossing is a piece of cake.
But it gets worse:
"This official U.S. Customs and Border Protection reporting station is on the border between Manitoba, a Canadian province, and Minnesota, and relies on the honor system. Yes, the U.S. government is counting on all people who cross into Angle Inlet, Minnesota, to report themselves via telephone. There are no permanent customs or immigration officials who work at the checkpoint."- Anderson Cooper. Read it all, you'll be amazed.
Using the honor system on a border which is three times longer then the one with Mexico, or any border really post 9/11, is ludicrous.
The black line is the combined coast lines of the United States and Canada. Canada has by far the longest coast line in the word at over 240,000KM. I think its pretty obvious that if a terrorist wanted to gain entry into the United States today he could get in (some of the 9/11 terrorists used fake documents and didn't even have to sneak in). Couple that with the lack of gun control and the picture is not pretty.
"Alright, alright, this is quite scary. But if its so possible why hasn't it happened already then?" - Therein lays the meat of the matter, so to speak.
Some would say that it's already happening. But thats not exactly right.
September 11 took the lives of less then 0.0001% of the US population. They cant destroy and kill all of America, that wasn't what it was all about. It was meant to terrorize, scare, and provoke. Just because a terrorist can sneak into America, buy a gun, and kill half a dozen people or so, doesn't mean its worth the effort in their eyes. Thousands of people are murdered in the States every year anyway, its not scary enough.
Planes exploding over the atlantic, or crashing into buildings or over populated cities, now thats scary. The UK plot was foiled, the next one is probably not far behind, is America ready?









CNN just aired something about this blog. In the same portion in which this blog was showed, another was as well (from Beirut). This has to be a first for Warfare, though it is quite interesting being able to get first-hand news from both sides of the event.







33 Comments:
Watch it, you keep printing that truth stuff and you'll get labeled a fear monger.
Can't agree with you more.
By
phil, at 8:54 PM
I really like you post Eugene, except for the one line about gun control. I firmly believe that it is the very prevalence of firearms in Israel that makes so many terrorist attempts fail or reduce the number of victims. I think there should be more armed law-abiding civilians in the US. And as the Japanese commander in WWII commented about the US that there is "a rifleman behind every blade of grass" [which btw, deterred him from invading the US mainland.]
By
Yishai, at 9:10 PM
By gun control I don't mean gun ban. It means not sellings guns and bullets in walmart and having background checks.
By
Live from an Israeli bunker, at 9:21 PM
You know, I would totally agree with Israel's wall if it wasn't being built in a way to annex Palestinian land.
The US building a wall along its borders would be fine. Building the wall to stretch out and isolate Mexican or Canadian land on the other hand...
Oh, and you want to see total craziness. You can drive from France to Belgium to the Netherlands, Germany, Austria... and not once get your passport checked!
I think security measures are generally proportional to the amount of threat. Israel has a HUGE security problem. and the US is threatened more than most European countries.
but in essence, all these measures are like pain killers. the pain is gone temporarily, but the causes are left untreated.
By
qzx, at 10:10 PM
The attack is not going to happen. The danger isn't anywhere near what the media wants us to belive. Bush & Co. just want to keep us in fear and unthinking, so they can use the fear to make people vote for them. I refuse to buy into the media frenzy. I don't believe there is any danger. You're just as bad as Bush & Co.
By
Mike, at 10:19 PM
Well there you go Phil.
Mike, was the UK terror plot not real? It was in fact going to happen, with luck it didn't.
By
Live from an Israeli bunker, at 10:39 PM
FYI, American borders are guarded by the border patrol a federal law enforcement agency. Each state has it's own National Guard units and they are not generally used to guard the border. Currently a small amount of National Guard are supplementing the Border Patrol in an administrative capacity so that the Border Patrol can do things like mend fences, etc.
Also, there are background checks and waiting periods in the United States. For example, in my state (California) you can only buy one gun a month and there is a three day waiting period after you purchase your gun but before you are allowed to take possession of it. During that three day period, the government is conducting a background checks to make sure the person (1) isn't a convicted felon, (2) hasn't been convicted of a misdemeanor in the last ten years, and (3) is not the subject of a restraining order. So even though some Wal-Marts sell firearms, it is rather difficult to purchase a legal firearm in the United States. The real problem is not legal firearms (such as those purchased at Wal-Marts) but firearms purchased on the black market where there are no background checks and waiting periods.
Finally, citing the Colbert Report isn't exactly persuasive. None of the "real" media sources in the United States think that a border fence would be able to be completed in 6 months. The U.S. government is talking about YEARS. Furthermore, in light of the fact that there have been numerous tunnels found under the fence we already have, and from what I understand, tunnels under the Israeli fence as well, I'm not sure that the fence is the be-all-end-all that you're making it out to be. Also, the cost you quoted is incorrect. The current estimate provided by the government is 2.2 billion for a 700 mile extension of the San Diego fence, or 3 million per mile. By my calculations, that puts the cost for a 2,000 mile fence at something closer to 6 billion dollars, twice the amount you cited.
I hate to say this, because I really like your blog, but this post wasn't as well researched as it should have been.
By
Fern R, at 10:52 PM
Fern, The Colbert Report is satire and the parenthesis were tongue in cheek. You can't argue that its funny however, and he does have serious guests from time to time and that information that Bay Buchanan gave is credible. Estimations of cost for such projects are usually unreliable and double as they go along (for example the "Big Dig").
The specifics are not the point, the point is that it would in fact be effective. The tunnels are a minor problem. I'm not suggesting that its a fail safe stop gap, an obstacle that is impossible to pass or anything like that. But doing nothing and leaving it wide open is not really an option.
As for the gun issue, in case you didn't I suggest you watch bowling for columbine. Like or dislike Michael Moore that movie makes a point thats at least interesting.
And finally, nobody is perfect, if I'm wrong or inaccurate I'm glad I have readers like you to call me out on it. Thank you.
By
Live from an Israeli bunker, at 11:20 PM
"The black line is the combined coast lines of the United States and Canada. Canada has by far the longest coast line in the word at over 240,000KM."
True. Though completely unsubstantiated, it's rumoured that a group of Jihadi's landed south of Prince Rupert to infiltrate the US... but they were eaten by a bear on the 1000 km walk to the border...
In all seriousness though if their are Jihadi's in the USA, I suspect that they are there already.
By
Beldar, at 4:18 AM
Fern, gun control as we know it is a joke here. My best friend's son was critically wounded, other children shot and a postman killed by an ex-convict and ex-mental patient who purchased his firearms at a legitimate gun store, in a supposedly legitimate manner.
Eugene, I am ashamed to say how much I learn about my own country from you. Thanks and keep your posts coming.
After the recent terrorist plots were uncovered, our airlines were forced to adopt strict carry-on luggage restrictions. Well, it hasn't been that long and already it is loosening up. We get complacent and we are spoiled and we don't like to be "inconvenienced" How stupid we are. As someone who flies, I would much rather be inconvenienced and not allowed to carry on my lip-gloss and laptop or anything else restricted if it means I and my fellow passengers get to our destinations in one piece. Let's lose this little battle to win the bigger war against terror.
By
Maureen, at 4:30 AM
if you want a gun to do something illegal, you can get one through the black market. gun control would take far more guns away from good guys than bad guys. a thief wouldn't even have to worry that the owner of the house might have a gun.
that's at least one anti-gun-control argument. actually, it's exactly one argument. what am i talking about?
and about that bomb plot. what ever happened with it? i read somewhere that most of the people arrested were either never convicted of anything and were let go, or they got charged with non-terrorism related crimes that popped up when they were investigated in detail.
By
qzx, at 6:44 AM
qzx, you are right. If someone is going to do something heinous, they will, regardless of what law or morality dictates. Unfortunately, when hatred is the learned morality there is little anyone can do about it, except try to foil any plots they can before they come to fruition.
By
Maureen, at 6:59 AM
Well there you go Phil.
Didn't take that long did it?
I suspect the same people who say that we'll never get attacked again said the same after WTC in 1993, or the USS Cole, or any one of the 5 Embassy bombings we've endured, do say nothing of what you've endured.
They are the same also the same the will blame whatever administration is in charge for it.
By
phil, at 5:57 PM
and this is where fixing the problem at the roots comes in. alot of terrorism would not exist today had things been done differently.
and this is where the real disagreement begins.
By
qzx, at 6:37 PM
"and this is where fixing the problem at the roots comes in. alot of terrorism would not exist today had things been done differently.
and this is where the real disagreement begins." - I like it how you preview the topic of my future posts in advance. I'm going to go over that too.
By
Live from an Israeli bunker, at 10:53 PM
"The specifics are not the point, the point is that it would in fact be effective. The tunnels are a minor problem. I'm not suggesting that its a fail safe stop gap, an obstacle that is impossible to pass or anything like that. But doing nothing and leaving it wide open is not really an option.
As for the gun issue, in case you didn't I suggest you watch bowling for columbine. Like or dislike Michael Moore that movie makes a point thats at least interesting."
Okay, Bowling for Columbine and The Colbert Report. That's where you're getting your info?! I've seen Bowling for Columbine. And I've worked for a law firm specializing in firearm regulations. I think have a decent idea about what is going on in the world of gun control. Thanks.
If you don't think that the details are important, then it's going to be hard for me to take your blog seriosuly anymore. The details are everything. And if you can't be bothered to do a little research before you post then how can your readers trust what you post? A commenter after me said something along the lines of "I am ashamed to say how much I learn about my own country from you." That's a lot of power you are wielding. Relatively uninformed people are looking to you to inform them. You have an intellectual responsibility to get the details right, because people like Maureen are coming to an Israeli kid's blog to learn about America.
By
Fern R, at 11:45 PM
"Okay, Bowling for Columbine and The Colbert Report. That's where you're getting your info?! I've seen Bowling for Columbine. And I've worked for a law firm specializing in firearm regulations. I think have a decent idea about what is going on in the world of gun control. Thanks."
No, Bowling for Columbine and The Colbert Report is not where I get my info. I posted the video from the Colbert Report as its the only one I've found of Bay Buchanan, again Colbert does satire but sometimes has serious guests whose credibility shouldn't be hurt just because they appeared on the show. Bay Buchanan was the youngest ever treasurer in the US and her brother is a politician, they were both involved with this issue for quite a while, she gave one number and you have another, so?
As I said, estimates for projects on this scale are unreliable no matter who utters them. Since neither of us (I assume) are in the construction business the building/fiscal details of the project are probably beyond us, wouldn't you say? I am firm in my opinion however that its an effective solution. True, it was never tried on such a scale before, but our results have been good, and you had some earlier projects (that she talked about) with good results. You can't just leave it be, its worth the effort.
"The current estimate provided by the government is 2.2 billion for a 700 mile extension of the San Diego fence, or 3 million per mile. By my calculations, that puts the cost for a 2,000 mile fence at something closer to 6 billion dollars, twice the amount you cited." - I don't think thats a valid method of calculation there, but what are we arguing here about, the price of the project? There is a good chance it will cost even more then that even. Things go overbudget.
Bowling for Columbine is a bad example, to tell you the truth I am not a fan of the maker, but the thing that got to me about it is the way firearms were handled in regular stores. My argument went of track here, your right, I apologize. Getting a firearm in the states is not that hard however, and if not from proper channels then via the black market.
Nonetheless, sloppy post on my behalf, I am sorry,
I'll try to not have that repeat.
By
Live from an Israeli bunker, at 1:03 AM
yes you are a basterd checking your blog at 1am and making a mistake no!!!
no seriously im a gun nut my self have 2 shotguns both12ga a .22 and my ultimate dream gun...a berret light 50..mmmmmmmmm......um ok ill stop freaking ppl out
as for the fence nothing we gona a do that is reasonable is going to make a real difference if not the walls the coast line is wide open
what it would take was the will of a entire country.not going to happen in the us the poloticos got us going in circles attacking each other
and one last thing some towns on the mexican border are being run by drug dealers what if they attacked the border patrols?
oh yea and that 6 to 7 bil figure take about 2 bil of for red tap union fees and payoffs and it ends up greatly reduced maybe the problem also is that our gov has rewached a peak point in its corruption when will we do something about it?....never rulers figured out a long long time ago if you keep the ppl spopiled and occupied thell accept any lie or act oh accept for getting a blow job in office..oh and thats only if the news finds out
By
james, at 7:43 AM
oh wait dont have dream gun yet.......but maybe one day one day
By
james, at 7:44 AM
qzx said ...
gun control would take far more guns away from good guys than bad guys. a thief wouldn't even have to worry that the owner of the house might have a gun
I cannot believe I am actually saying this but I agree with you qzx. If that is really how you feel that is, I couldn't tell if you were being serious or sarcastic.
fern said ...
If you don't think that the details are important, then it's going to be hard for me to take your blog seriosuly anymore
Relatively uninformed people are looking to you to inform them
Hey fern, here's a hint, it's a B-L-O-G!! People can write anything they want on a B-L-O-G! If he wants to write the sky is green, he can. As far as anyone getting their information strictly from a blog, that is their problem if they cannot do the research themselves and see what is out there. Many people also take the media as a source of truth instead of trying to dig and find out if there is more to the story. I'm sure you meant no harm but frankly I get a little tired of seeing people try to come down on Eugene as they do. I admire what he has been doing and I hope he continues to do it!
Eugene, I don't post much at all but I am still around reading when I can (as I'm sure many others are). Please keep up the good work and be safe. :)
By
support4israel, at 2:54 AM
"Hey fern, here's a hint, it's a B-L-O-G!! People can write anything they want on a B-L-O-G! If he wants to write the sky is green, he can. As far as anyone getting their information strictly from a blog, that is their problem if they cannot do the research themselves and see what is out there. Many people also take the media as a source of truth instead of trying to dig and find out if there is more to the story."
Fern was very correct in pointing out the inaccuracies in my post. The fact that people get their information from the mainstream media and that this happens all the time is not an excuse for me to write in a sloppy fashion.
This is more then just a blog, if I want to effect people I should take care to not let my credibility suffer and go that extra mile for better posts. I'm glad that I have Fern as a reader.
Furthermore, if I am swaying, changing, or effecting peoples opinions, I have a responsibility towards them.
So thanks to both Fren and you, and all the readers really, for making it easier to keep on doing this.
By
Live from an Israeli bunker, at 8:21 AM
See, this is why I don't like to read this kind of stuff. Troubling, very troubling. Thank you for your insight.
Matt
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